Aims
About IMA
What is microsimulation?
Membership
Discussion list
Journal
Conferences
Workshops
Training
Past Conferences/Meetings
Population-based
Traffic-based
Firm-based
Books
Book chapters
Journal articles
|
|
|
2nd
General Conference of the International
Microsimulation Association
"Microsimulation: Bridging Data and Policy"
Ottawa, Canada, June 8th
to 10th, 2009
|
|
|
BASIC INCOME
|
An
Unconditional Basic Income for Germany –
Labor Supply and Distributional
Effects
Julia
Horstschräer (Centre
for European Economic Research, Mannheim) and Markus
Clauss Reinhold Schnabel (University of Duisburg-Essen)
|
Behavioural and Welfare Effects of Alternative Basic Income Policies: A
Simulation for European Countries
Ugo Colombino (Department of Economics 'Cognetti De Martiis' University of Turin, Torino, Italy) and CHID Collegio Carlo Alberto
'[Paper]
|
Taxing Citizens Income: relaxing the assumptions
Maria Iacovou (Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER), University of Essex, Colchester UK)
|
|
CHILD CARE
|
Vertical policy conflicts in female employment enhancing
Anita Haataja (Senior Researcher,The Social Insurance Institution, Research Department, Helsinki, Finland
and Elina Pylkkänen (Financial Counsellor, Ministry of Finance, Tax Department, Finland)
[Paper]
|
Taxing Care: alternatives for the non-working spouse compensation in the Belgian tax system
Joris Ghysels, Josefine Van Hille and Gerlinde Verbist (University of Antwerp), Herman Deleeck (Centre for Social Policy)
[Paper]
|
Measuring the size and impact of support for children through taxes and benefits in comparative perspective
Francesco Figari, Horacio Levy, Christine Lietz, Alari Paulus and Holly Sutherland (Institute for Social and Economic Research,
University of Essex)
[Presentation]
|
|
CITIES
|
A dynamic spatial microsimulation model of local populations
M.H. Birkin, B.M. Wu and P. H. Rees (School of Geography, University of Leeds)
|
Simulating Cities: The ILUTE Project
Eric J. Miller (University of Toronto Cities Centre)
[Presentation]
|
Population Ageing and the Needs-Based Planning of Government Services: An
Application of Spatial Microsimulation in Australia
Ann Harding, Robert Tanton, Yogi Vidyattama, Rebecca Cassells, Justine McNamara, Riyana Miranti and Binod Nepal, (NATSEM, University of Canberra; Canberra, Australia)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
CORPORATE TAXATION
|
On The Italian Ace And Its Impact On Enterprise Performance: A Microsimulation Study
Simona Balzano (University of Cassino), Filippo Oropallo (ISTAT), Valentino Parisi (University of Cassino)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Canada's Federal Corporate Income Tax: A Microsimulation Model
Benoit Morin and Marc Séguin (Department of Finance Canada)
|
Taxation of closely held corporations' efficiency aspects
Peter Ericson and Johan Fall (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise)
[Paper]
|
|
DEMOGRAPHY
|
|
DEMOGRAPHY (1): PROJECTIONS
|
Household projection and its application to health/long-term care expenditures in Japan using INAHSIM-II
Tetsuo Fukawa (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Tokyo)
|
|
An overview of Popsim, Statistics Canada's microsimulation model for demographic projections
Éric Caron Malenfant (Statistics Canada)
|
|
DEMOGRAPHIC (2): BEHAVIOURS
|
Socio-economic differences in mortality: implications for pensions policy
Edward Whitehouse and Asghar Zaidi (OECD, France)
|
Incorporating Immigrant Flows into Microsimulation Models
Charles Pineles-Mark, Jonathan A. Schwabish and Michael Simpson (Congressional Budget Office)
|
Modelling Migration in Pensim2: a Dynamic Microsimulation Model of the British Pension System
Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, Mellows Campus, Athenry, Co. Galway, Ireland)
and Howard Redway (Pensim2 Team, Department of Work and Pensions, London)
|
Modelling demographics in dynamic microsimulation models: An examination of fertility modelling and the Australian APPSIM model
Dr Sophie Pennec(Institut National d’Etudes Démographiques, Paris, France; Visiting fellow at National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra,
Australia and Australian Demographic and Social Research Institute, Australian National University, Australia) and Prof. Bruce Bacon (Adjunct
Professor at the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra, Australia) and Australian Demographic and Social
Research Institute, Australian National University, Australia)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
DEMOGRAPHY (3): EDUCATION, PARTNERING AND KINSHIP
|
Using a microsimulation model to project family and kinship networks in Britain
Michael Murphy (Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics, London, UK)
[Presentation]
|
Education Projections in Norway
Trude Gunnes (Statistics Norway)
|
Changes in life expectancy in different marital status for French elderly people: gender and generational perspectives
Sophie Pennec and Joëlle Gaymu (Institut National d’Etudes Démographiques, Paris, France)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Ethnic diversity and educational attainment: The modeling of education in the Canadian
PopSim population projection model
Martin Spielauer (Statistics Canada)
|
|
EDUCATION, EARNINGS AND IMMIGRATION
|
Forecasting individual lifetime earnings profiles
Denisa Maria Sologon (Maastricht Graduate School of Governance, Maastricht University, The Netherlands),
Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc Mellows Campus, Ireland)
|
Saving the Belgian welfare state through immigration? A simulation of introducing Canadian immigration policies in Belgium
Vincent Corluy, Gerlinde Verbist and Ive Marx (Centre for Social Policy, University of Antwerp)
[Paper]
|
Modeling Education in DYNACAN
Keith Wilde (DYNACAN Project, Social Development Canada) and Richard Morrison (DYNACAN)
|
Accounting for the Intergenerational Transmission of Educational Attainment: The Modeling of Education in the Canadian LifePaths Microsimulation Model
Martin Spielauer (Statistics Canada)
|
|
HEALTH
|
|
HEALTH (1): PREVALENCE
|
A simulated reference for estimated fetal weight (EFW)
Robert W Platt (McGill University), Jennifer A Hutcheon (McGill University), Michael S Kramer (McGill University),
Haim A Abenhaim (McGill University), KS Joseph (Dalhousie University), Luc Villandre (Montreal Children's Hospital Research Institute),
Geir Jacobsen (University of Trondheim, Norway), Pal Romundstad (University of Trondheim, Norway)
[Presentation]
|
Are spatial microsimulation models outputs believable?
Kim Edwards, Graham Clark, James Thomas and David Forman (University of Leeds, UK)
[Presentation]
|
Bridging surveillance data and cancer control policy: A surveillance model of prostate cancer trends informs PSA screening policies
Ruth Etzioni, Roman Gulati, Jeffrey Katcher (Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, USA)
and Lurdes Inoue (University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Explaining US prostate cancer trends using ERSPC trial Rotterdam experience
Elisabeth M. Wever, Gerrit Draisma, Eveline E.A. Heijnsdijk, Monique J. Roobol,
Suzie J.Otto and Harry J. de Koning
|
|
HEALTH (2): ELDERLY CARE
|
Elderly disability and changes in family support: microsimulation for France in 2025
Bérengère Davin and Alain Paraponaris (Department of Economics, University of the Mediterranean, INSERM Unit 912 and PACA Regional Center for Disease Control),
Sophie Thiebaut and Bruno Ventelou (CNRS GREQAM / INSERM Unit 912 and PACA Regional Center for Disease Control)
|
Moving from a dynamic cohort microsimulation model to a dynamic population microsimulation model:
an incremental approach for a UK model of long-term care charging (CARESIM)
Ruth Hancock and Marcello Morciano, (Health Economics Group, Faculty of Health, University of East Anglia, UK),
Chris Curry (Pensions Policy Institute, UK), and Raphael Wittenberg and Linda Pickard (Personal Social Services Research Unit, London School of
Economics, UK)
[Presentation]
|
Primary care in an ageing society - Building a micro-simulation model for policy purposes
Janet Pearson, Roy Lay-Yee, Peter Davis, Martin von Randow, Sanat Pradhan, David O'Sullivan,
Ngaire Kerse, Alastair Scott (Centre of Methods and Policy Application in the Social Sciences, University of Auckland, New Zealand)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Using dynamic microsimulation models to face the policy issue of caring for the most vulnerable elderly: a comparison of Canada with some Europeans countries
Yann Décarie, Jacques Légaré, Patrick Charbonneau, Janice Keefe, Joëlle Gaymu and the FELICIE team)
[Presentation]
|
|
HEALTH (3): STATUS
|
HealthPaths Dynamics 1: Estimating Multivariate Trajectories of Functional Health over the Life Course
Geoff Rowe and Michael Wolfson (Statistics Canada)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
HealthPaths Dynamics 2: Using Functional Health Trajectories to Quantify the Relative Importance of Selected Health Determinants
Michael Wolfson and Geoff Rowe (Statistics Canada)
[Presentation]
|
Modeling Health Status for Microsimulation
Julie Topoleski, and Joyce Manchester (U.S. Congressional Budget Office)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Development of a dynamic microsimulation model to investigate how to best compress morbidity in older Australians and optimise ageing
Laurie Brown, Binod Nepal, Ann Harding(NATSEM, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia),
Heather Booth( Australian Demographic and Social Research Institute, ANU, Canberra, Australia),
Kaarin J. Anstey (Centre for Mental Health Research, ANU, Canberra, Australia) and Sophie Pennec (INED, Paris, France)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
HEALTH (4): CARE
|
Population ageing, health status and health outlays: assessing impacts and policy options during the next 40 years
Sharyn Lymer (NATSEM, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
The Determinants of Long term Illness and the Affect of Health Service Deprivation on Individual health at the small area level in Ireland
Karyn Morrissey (Rural Economic Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland & the School of Geography, University of Leeds),
Stephen Hynes (Rural Economic Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland), Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economic Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland),
Graham Clarke (School of Geography, University of Leeds)
|
Understanding the socio-economic characteristics of GP lists
Paul Williamson (University of Liverpool, UK)
[Presentation]
|
|
HEALTH (5): COSTS
|
Distributional impact of the National Health Insurance System in France: a microsimulation approach
Valérie Albouy, Laurent Davezies and Thierry Debrand (Irdes)
|
How illness makes older Australians poorer: Income lost when workers retire prematurely due to illness
Associate Professor Deborah Schofield, Dr Rupendra Shrestha, Dr Megan Passey and Mr Arul Earnest (NRUDRH, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney,
Australia), Mr Richard Percival, Dr Simon Kelly (National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra,
Australia)
|
Economic Model System of Chronic Diseases: the Prototype
Agnes Walker and James Butler (Australian Centre for Economic Research on Health, Australian National University) and Prof
Stephen Colagiuri (Institute of Obesity, Nutrition and Exercise, University of Sydney)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
HEALTH (6): FUTURE PREVALENCE
|
Overview of POHEM & Session
William M. Flanagan (Statistics Canada)
[Presentation]
|
What might be the future burden of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Canada and what could be done to reduce it?
William Flanagan, Douglas Lee, Doug Manuel, Philippe Finès, Claude Nadeau, Walter Omariba, Jillian Oderkirk
[Presentation]
|
Physical Activity in Canada: Challenges and Choices in Model Design
Claude Nadeau, Geoff Rowe, Didier Garriguet, William M. Flanagan, Jillian Oderkirk, Steve Gribble (Statistics Canada),
Ron Wall, Jan Wadell-Trumble (Public Health Agency of Canada), Mark Tremblay (CHEO), Doug Manuel (OHRI & Statistics Canada)
[Presentation]
|
Microsimulation of osteoarthritis in Canada – Case study of a chronic disease in Canada
Philippe Finès, Jacek A. Kopec, William M. Flanagan, Eric C. Sayre, and Md. Mushfiqur Rahman (Statistics Canada, HIRD, Pohem)
[Presentation]
|
|
KEYNOTE ADDRESSES
|
|
KEYNOTE ADDRESS (1)
|
Microsimulation of Health Reform in the United States
John Sheils, Senior Vice President, The Lewin Group
|
|
KEYNOTE ADDRESS (2)
|
Microsimulation – Bringing Data into Public Health Policy
Dr. David Butler-Jones, Chief Public Health Officer, Public Health Agency of Canada
|
|
KEYNOTE ADDRESS (3)
|
Agents everywhere: what can agent-based modelling do for microsimulation?
Professor Nigel Gilbert, Professor of Sociology (University of Surrey)
|
|
LABOUR SUPPLY
|
|
LABOUR SUPPLY (1): MODELS
|
Simulating multilevel labor markets
Carlos R. García-Alonso and Gabriel M. Pérez-Alcalá (ETEA, Business Administration Faculty, SPAIN)
|
LaMPsim - an open source microsimulation tool in development
Fredrik Jansson Dahlén (Head of Research Unit, Swedish Public Employment Service)
|
Long Term Inequality in Italy
Matteo Richiardi (Università Politecnica delle Marche, Ancona, Italy) and Lisa Sella (Università di Torino, Torino, Italy)
[Presentation]
|
|
LABOUR SUPPLY (2): WOMEN
|
Quebec’s 2008 Tax Reform: Impact on Labour Supply and Social Welfare
Nicholas-James Clavet, Jean-Yves Duclos, Bernard Fortin, et Sami Bibi (Université Laval, Québec, Canada)
[Presentation]
|
Evaluation of an In-work Tax Credit Reform in Sweden: Evaluation of an In-work Tax Credit Reform
in Sweden: Effects on LaborSupply and Welfare Participation of Single Mothers
Rolf Aaberge (Research Department, Statistics Norway, Oslo, Norway) and
Lennart Flood (Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, University of Gothenburg)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Can Spanish mothers be encouraged to work?
Xisco Oliver (Universitat de les Illes Balears, Palma de Mallorca) and
Amedeo Spadaro (PSE, Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques, Joint Research Unit CNRS-EHESS-ENPC-ENS, Paris, and Universitat
de les Illes Balears, Palma de Mallorca)
|
From housewives to independent earners: can the tax system help Italian women to work?
Francesco Figari (Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, UK)
[Presentation]
|
|
LABOUR SUPPLY (3): BEHAVIOUR
|
Behavioral micro-simulation model and labor supply in Luxembourg
Frédéric Berger, Nizamul Islam and Philippe Liégeois (CEPS/INSTEAD Luxembourg) and Raymond Wagener (IGSS Luxembourg)
|
Labor supply and household formation: development of the LaborSim dynamic microsimulation model for Italy
Matteo Richiardi (Università Politecnica delle Marche, Ancona, Italy) and Ambra Poggi (Università di Milano, Milano, Italy)
[Presentation]
|
Optional Value Based Retirement Choice Modelling In Dynamic Microsimulation: The Irish Case
Li (Maastricht Graduate School of Governance, Maastricht University, the Netherlands) and
Cathal O'Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, National University of Ireland, Ireland)
|
|
LABOUR SUPPLY (4): POLICY CHANGES
|
Does the dismantlement of early retirement schemes increase unemployment? Evidence from Belgium
Marjan Maes (Louvain Catholic University, Brussels, Belgium)
[Paper]
|
Dual Income Tax Reform in Germany. A Microsimulation Approach
Gerhard Wagenhals (University of Hohenheim Stuttgart, Germany)
[Presentation]
|
Comparing welfare change measures with income change measures in behavioural policy simulations
John Creedy, Nicolas Hérault and Guyonne Kalb (The University of Melbourne, Australia)
[Presentation]
|
|
LABOUR SUPPLY (5): BEHAVIOURAL
|
Marginal Cost of Public Funds: A Behavioural Microsimulation Approach
André Decoster and Kris De Swerdt (Center for Economic Studies, University of Leuven, Belgium)
|
Simulating Labour Supply: A Lifetime Modelling Approach with Heterogeneity and Uncertainty Extension
Jinjing Li, Denisa Sologon (Maastricht Graduate School of Governance, Maastricht University, the Netherlands),
Cathal O'Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, National University of Ireland, Ireland)
|
Revealed Social Preferences and Welfare Effects of the German Labour Market Reform
Markus Clauss (Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH (ZEW) Centre for European Economic Research, Germany)
|
Earnings Volatility Across Groups and Time
John Sabelhaus and Jae Song (University of Maryland and Investment Company Institute)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
METHODOLOGY
|
|
METHODOLOGY (1): DATA
|
Benefit reform – a dynamic microsimulation approach using administrative data
Simon Gault (Model Development Unit, Department for Work and Pensions, UK)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Dealing with incomplete household panel data in microsimulation models
Joachim R. Frick (DIW Berlin, TU Berlin, IZA Bonn), Olaf Groh-Samberg (DIW Berlin), Markus M. Grabka (DIW Berlin, TU Berlin)
[Presentation]
|
The construction of gross income variables of EU-SILC (EU statistics on income and living conditions) in
Italy: a mixed strategy using microsimulation and administrative data
Gabriella Donatiello (ISTAT, Rome, Italy), Gianni Betti (University of Siena, Italy), Paolo Consolini (ISTAT Rome, Italy)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
The importance of the database in tax/transfer modeling
Shawna Brown, Jackson Chung, Chantal Hicks and Laurie Plager (Statistics Canada)
|
|
METHODOLOGY (2): TECHNIQUES
|
A Match Made in Silicon: Marriage Matching Algorithms for Dynamic Microsimulation
Neal Leblanc (DYNACAN team), Rick Morrison (DYNACAN team) and Howard Redway (PENSIM2 team)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Acceleration, alignment and matching in multi-purpose household microsimulations
Richard Cumpston (JR Cumpston Pty Ltd, consulting actuaries, and a PhD student at the Australian National University)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Unobserved Heterogeneity in Microsimulation Models: an assessment
Roberto Leombruni (University of Torino and Laboratorio Revelli - Center for Employment Studies), Matteo Richiardi (University Politecnica delle Marche and Laboratorio
Revelli - Center for Employment Studies)
|
Longitudinal benchmarking and alignment of a dynamic microsimulation model
Simon Kelly, Richard Percival (NATSEM, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
METHODOLOGY (3): TECHNIQUES
|
Techniques for Managing Changes To Existing Simulation Models
Sally Edwards (Strategy Directorate, Department for Work and Pensions (DWP))
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
The Microsimulation Tool of the MicMac-Project
Sabine Zinn, Dr. Jutta Gampe (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany),
Prof. Dr. Frans Willekens, Dr. Nicole van der Gaag, Dr. Joop de Beer (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague, The Netherlands)
Prof. Dr. Adelinde Uhrmacher, Dr. Jan Himmelspach (Department of Computer Science, University Rostock, Germany)
|
The RiskPaths teaching model
Martin Spielauer (Statistics Canada)
|
Modeling large interacting populations in continuous time: A novel computational approach using Modgen
Claude Charette and Steve Gribble (Statistics Canada
|
|
MICRO-MACRO LINKS
|
|
MICRO-MACRO LINKS (1)
|
The impact of agricultural price distortions on inequality and poverty in South Africa
Nicolas Herault and James Thurlow (University of Melbourne, Australia)
[Presentation]
|
Impact of the Quebec Government’s Economic Policy on Poverty and Disparities
Abdessalem Abbass (Ministère des Finances du Québec), Danielle Bilodeau (Institut de la Statistique du Québec),
and Rim Chatti (Ministère des Finances du Québec
|
Microsimulations for Poverty and Inequality in Mexico using parameters from a CGE Model
Araceli Ortega Díaz (EGAP, Mexico)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
MICRO-MACRO LINKS (2)
|
Employment effects of a general minimum wage - an integrated Micro-Macro approach
Juergen Wiemers and Michael Feil (Institute for Employment Research, Germany)
|
Microsimulation , Macrosimulation, Model Validation, Linkage and Alignment
Bruce Bacon (University of Canberra at the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM), and National University of Australia at the Australian Demographic and Social Research Institute
(ARSRI)) and Sophie Pennec (Institut national d’etudes demographiques, France (INED- national institute of
demographic studies))
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
The benefits and problems of linking micro and macro models – evidence from a flat tax analysis
Andreas Peichl (IZA Bonn, Germany)
[Paper]
|
|
DISCUSSION PANELS
|
|
PANEL (1):MODEL VALIDATION: WOULD YOU TRUST THIS MODEL?
|
Panellists:
Didier Blanchet, DESTINIE, France
Gijs Dekkers, MIDAS, Belgium, Germany and Italy
[Presentation]
Rick Morrison, DYNACAN, Canada
Howard Redway, PENSIM-2, United Kingdom
Geoff Rowe, LifePaths, Statistics Canada
Moderator:
Asghar Zaidi, OECD
|
|
PANEL (2): MICROSIMULATION: BARRIERS TO ENTRY
|
Panellists:
Holly Sutherland, EUROMOD, United Kingdom
[Presentation]
Cathal
O'Donoghue National University of Ireland, Ireland
Robert Tanton, NATSEM, Australia
[Presentation]
Martin Spielauer, Statistics Canada, Canada
Moderator:
Martin Spielauer, Statistics Canada, Canada
|
|
PANEL (3): MACRO/MICRO LINKS IN MICROSIMULATION
|
Panellists:
Baxter Williams, Finance Canada, Canada
Thomas Petterson, Ministry of Finance, Sweden
Simon Kelly, NATSEM, Australia
Rolf Aaberge, Statistics Norway, Norway
Moderator:
Stéphane Jetté, Finance Canada, Canada
|
|
PANEL (4): POLICY IMPACTS OF MICROSIMULATION: RECIPES FOR SUCCESS
|
Panellists:
Ann Harding, NATSEM, Australia [Presentation]
Kate Wilkinson, University of Oxford, United Kingdom
Kimberley Edwards, University of Leeds, United Kingdom
Gerlinde Verbist, University of Antwerp, Belgium
Moderator:
Laurie Brown, NATSEM, Australia
|
|
PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT
|
|
PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT (1)
|
Effects of labour market and pension system reforms on retirement propensity and long term pension benefits inequality in Italy
Margherita Borella (University of Turin and CeRP-Collegio Carlo Alberto),
Flavia Coda Moscarola CeRP-Collegio Carlo Alberto),
Dario Di Pierro (LABORatorio Revelli-Collegio Carlo Alberto),
Roberto Leombruni (University of Turin and LABORatorio Revelli-Collegio Carlo Alberto),
Matteo Richiardi (Università Politecnica delle Marche and LABORatorio Revelli-Collegio Carlo Alberto),
Lisa Sella (University of Turin and LABORatorio Revelli-Collegio Carlo Alberto)
|
Leaving the workforce early due to ill health: Estimating duration of retirement for Health&WealthMOD Retirement Microsimulation Model
Rupendra Shrestha, Deborah Schofield, Megan Passey, Arul Earnest (NRUDRH, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney, Australia),
Richard Percival, Simon Kelly (National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra, Australia)
|
A microsimulation analysis of public and private policies aimed at increasing the age of retirement
Jeff Carr and André Léonard (HRSDC Canada)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Spending Down One’s Retirement Assets in an Uncertain World
Marvin Avery and Richard Morrison(DYNACAN)
|
|
PPENSIONS AND RETIREMENT (2)
|
Effect of Proposals for Pension Reform on the Income Distribution of the Elderly in Japan
Seiichi Inagaki (General Councilor, Research Institute for Policies on Pension & Aging, Japan)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Retirement Incomes Past, Present, and Future: Using LifePaths to Evaluate Earnings Replacement after Retirement
Kevin D. Moore, Xiaofen Lin and Laurie Plager (Statistics Canada)
|
Estimation of net income to assess GIS, SA eligibility, and OAS clawback provisions in DYNACAN
Denis Chénard and James Kuhnke (DYNACAN)
|
|
PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT (3)
|
High-Level Design Overview of DYNACAN
Vesna Petrovic (DYNACAN
|
AVID: Analysis of Old Age Income Structures in Germany
Dina Frommert (Deutsche Rentenversicherung-Bund, Berlin), Thorsten Heien (TNS Infratest Social Research, Munich) and
Christof Schatz (ASKOS, Munich)
[Paper]
|
PRISME A dynamic microsimulation model for the French pension scheme CNAV
Berteau-Rapin (CNAV/DSP), Alessandra Di Porto (CNAV/DSP) and Christophe Albert (CNAV/DSINDS)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Updating and extending the data basis for the dynamic microsimulation model MOSART
Dennis Fredriksen, Pål Knudsen and Nils Martin Stølen (Statistics Norway)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT (4)
|
Demographic development and Pension Reform in Norway: Microsimulating effects on labour supply, government expenditures and contribution rates
Dennis Fredriksen, Trude Gunnes and Nils Martin Stølen (Statistics Norway)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Measuring intragenerational and intergenerational redistribution in the reformed Italian social security system
Carlo Mazzaferro (University of Bologna and CAPP, Italy) and Marcello Morciano (University of East Anglia and CAPP, Italy)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Projecting Future U.S. Pension Benefits
Martin R. Holmer (Policy Simulation Group)
[Paper]
|
|
PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT (5)
|
Mandatory superannuation and self-sufficiency in retirement: an application of the APPSIM dynamic microsimulation model
Marcia Keegan (University of Canberra, NATSEM, Australia)
[Paper]
|
"So pensions in Europe will remain sustainable. But will they remain adequate?” An assessment of the consequences of the AWG-projections on the
adequacy of social security pensions in Belgium, Italy and Germany
Gijs Dekkers (Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, and Centre for Sociological Research, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium),
Hermann Buslei, Johannes Geyer, Dirk Hofmann , Viktor Steiner (German Institute for Economic Research, DIW, Germany),
Maria Cozzolino, Michele Raitano, Paola Tanda, Simone Tedeschi (Institute for Studies and Economic Analysis, ISAE, Italy),
Raphael Desmet and Frédéric Verschueren (Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
The Destinie 2 microsimulation model: overview and illustrative results
Didier Blanchet, Emmanuelle Crenner and Sylvie Le Minez (INSEE - Department of General Economic Studies)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
|
PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT (6)
|
Micro simulations on the effects of ageing-related policy measures
Jan-Maarten van Sonsbeek (VU University Amsterdam)
|
Financial and distributive impact of pension reforms: the case of Belgium
Marjan Maes (UCouvain, teaching assistant Catholic University, Brussels, Belgium)
|
The Effects of Earnings Sharing on U.S. Social Security Benefits in 2030: An Application of the MINT Microsimulation Model
Howard M. Iams (Office of Research Evaluation and Statistics, U.S. Social Security Administration),
Gayle Reznik (Office of Retirement Policy, U.S. Social Security Administration) and
Christopher R. Tamborini (Office of Retirement Policy, U.S. Social Security Administration)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
|
PLENARY PANEL AND CLOSING REMARKS
|
|
Microsimulation: When to Build and When to Share?
Panellists
Lennart Flood, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
Didier Blanchet, DESTINIE, France
Johanne Denis, Statistics Canada, Canada
Deborah Schofield, University of Sydney, Australia
Moderator
Michael Wolfson, Statistics Canada, Canada
|
|
POSTERS
|
Housing allowances and work incentives
Pertti Honkanen (Resarch Department of Social Insurance Institution of Finland. Helsinki)
[Poster]
|
Sysiff 2008: a microsimulation model for France
Amedeo Spadaro, Luciano Canova and Luca Piccoli (Paris School of Economics)
|
Popsim, Statistics Canada’s microsimulation model for demographic projections
Éric Caron Malenfant (Statistics Canada)
|
The Simulation of the Educational Output over the Life Course: The GAMEO model
Pierre Courtioux (EDHEC Business School), Stéphane Gregoir (EDHEC Business School),
Dede Houeto (EDHEC Business School and Paris School of Economics)
[Paper]
|
ITAXMOD, the ISAE tax-benefit microsimulation model: methodology and main results
Carlo Declich and Floriana D’Elia (ISAE – Institute of Economic Studies and Analyses, Roma, Italy)
|
PSG Models of U.S. Pensions
Martin R. Holmer (Policy Simulation Group)
|
INAHSIM: A Japanese Microsimulation Model
Seiichi Inagaki
[Poster] [Paper]
|
Using PERSIM for Effective Human Resources Planning
André Lebel and Robert Kopersiewich (Statistics Canada)
[Poster] [Presentation]
|
Current Effort: Re-estimate POLICYQUEST and potentially distribute on the web
Lee M. Cohen, PhD (Office of Policy, Division of Policy Evaluation, Social Security Administration)
[Poster]
|
EUROMOD: a multi-country tax-benefit model and Microsimulation: Barriers to Entry?
Francesco Figari, Horacio Levy, Christine Lietz, Alari Paulus, and Holly Sutherland (Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, UK)
[Poster]
|
IRPET MicroReg Multiregional Microsimulation Model
Nicola Sciclone, Maria Luisa Maitino (IRPET, Firenze, Italy)
|
|
POVERTY AND INEQUALITY
|
|
POVERTY AND INEQUALITY (1)
|
Labour Market, Demographic and Policy Drivers of Inequality in the Baltic States
Tatjana Stirling (National University of Ireland, Galway and Department of Work and
Pensions London) and Cathal O'Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, National University of Ireland, Galway and IZA)
|
Income inequality and the effect of public policies in the European Union: what happens with enlargement?
Francesco Figari, Alari Paulus, and Holly Sutherland (Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, UK)
[Presentation]
|
Inequality and Polarization Impact of the European Redistribution Architecture on the Spanish Population: an Analysis Using Microsimulation Techniques
Oliver, Luca Piccoli and Amedeo Spadaro (Universitat de les Illes Balears, Paris School of Economics Paris School of Economics Palma de Mallorca and Universitat de les class Illes Balears, Palma de Mallorca)
|
Inequality neutral flat tax reforms in Europe: differences between East and West
Alari Paulus (ISER, University of Essex, UK) and Andreas Peichl (IZA Bonn, Germany)
[Presentation]
|
|
POVERTY AND INEQUALITY (2)
|
Micro-simulating child poverty in the UK in 2010 and 2020
Mike Brewer, James Browne, Robert Joyce and Holly Sutherland (Institute for Fiscal Studies, UK)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
Poverty Impact of Social Welfare Reform. An analysis of the proposals in the Irish Green Paper 2007 using dynamic microsimulation modelling
Elisa Baroni and Cathal O’Donoghue (National University of Ireland)
|
Population Projection for Cape Verde: A Dynamic Microsimulation Model
Alain Bélanger and Carlos Rosario Mendès (INRS, Montréal, Canada)
|
|
POVERTY AND INEQUALITY (3)
|
Regional & Rural Poverty Analysis in Ireland
Karyn Morrissey (Rural Economic Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland & the School of Geography, University of Leeds), Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economic Research Centre,
Teagasc, Ireland), Graham Clarke, (School of Geography, University of Leeds)
|
Modelling poverty transitions in Spain: Do attrition and initial conditions really matter?
Sara Ayllón (Department of Applied Economics Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, UAB,Spain
|
The Impact of Taxes and Transfers on Child Poverty in South Africa
Kate Wilkinson (Centre for Analysis of South African Social Policy, University of Oxford, UK)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
|
SPATIAL
|
|
SPATIAL (1)
|
Assessing the Sustainability of Irish Farming across Space Using Spatial Microsimulation Techniques
Stephen Hynes, Emma Dillon, Thia Hennessy and Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc Athenry, Co. Galway, Ireland)
|
Development of a Static Farm-level Spatial Microsimulation Model to Analyse On- and Off- Farm Activities of Dutch Farmers
Eveline Van Leeuwen and Jasper Dekkers (VU University Amsterdam)
|
Inequality in Australia: Does region matter?
Riyana Miranti (presenting author), Rebecca Cassells, Yogi Vidyattama, Justine McNamara (NATSEM, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Micro-Simulation of Literacy Levels with Spatial Effects Using the Canadian Census
Richard Shillington and Mike McCracken (Informetrica Limited)
|
|
SPATIAL (2)
|
A hybrid spatial microsimulation model for decision support in demographic planning
Belinda Wu, Mark Birkin and Philip Rees (School Geography University of Leeds)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Improving the Representation of Diversity in Spatial Microsimulation Models
Mark Birkin and Graham Clarke (University of Leeds)
|
Pushing them to the edge: An assessment of spatial microsimulation methods
Robert Tanton and Yogi Vidyattama (National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
|
SPATIAL (3)
|
A Continuous Space Representation of a Simulated Population
John Cullinan (RERC Teagasc and NUI, Galway), Cathal O'Donoghue (RERC Teagasc) and Stephen Hynes (RERC Teagasc)
|
Two worlds of ageing: spatial microsimulation estimates of small area advantage and disadvantage among older Australians
Justine McNamara, Riyana Miranti, Cathy Gong, Robert Tanton, Ann Harding and Yogi Vidyattama (NATSEM, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia) and Hal Kendig (Ageing and Health in the Faculty of Health Sciences at the University of Sydney)
[Presentation]
[Paper]
|
Use of static spatial microsimulation for researching inequalities of educational attainment
Dimitris Kavroudakis (UCL geography), Dimitris Ballas (University of Sheffield, department of
geography) and Mark Birkin (University of Leeds, school of geography)
|
|
SPATIAL (4)
|
Imitation or interaction in spatial micro simulation
Einar Holm (Urban Lindgren, Kalle Mäkilä, Erling Lundevaller (Dept. of social and economic geography, Umeå University)
|
Small area estimation through spatial microsimulation models: Some methodological issues
Azizur Rahman (National centre for social and economic Modelling University of Canberra, Australia)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
Imputing socioeconomic status onto administrative datasets
Linc Thurecht, Laurie Brown, Andrew Armstrong, Cathy Gong, Ann Harding (NATSEM, University of Canberra; Canberra, Australia)
[Presentation]
|
|
SPECIAL PURPOSE MODELS
|
The distributional impact of inflation: an analysis on Italian households, 1990-2007
Alessandra Cepparulo (Università di Roma “Sapienza”, DEP),
Francesca Gastaldi (Università di Roma “Sapienza”, DEP) and
Paolo Liberati (Università di Urbino, DEMQ)
|
The importance of conditional employment uncertainty in life cycle models
Anne Biewald (Postdoctoral Researcher at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)
|
Micro Simulation of Housing Policy following Urban Disaster
Keiichi Sato (Research Associate, Institute of Social Science, The University of Tokyo)
[Paper]
|
Modelling privatisation of traffic insurance in Sweden
Tom Nilstierna (Deputy Director, Ministry of Health and Social Affairs) and Associate Professor
Deborah Schofield (Director of Research and Associate Professor, NRUDRH, School of Public Health, University of Sydney)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
|
TAXATION
|
|
TAXATION (1)
|
Assessing the distributional effects of housing taxation in Italy: From the actual tax code to imputed
rent
Simone Pellegrino, Massimiliano Piacenza and Gilberto Turati (University of Torino, School of Economics, Department of Economics and Public Finance,
Torino (TO), ITALY)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
Fiscal drag and tax relieves: an evaluation of recent Italian reforms
Carlo Declich and Floriana D’Elia (ISAE–Institute of Economic Studies and Analyses, ITALY)
|
Who Is the Winner and Loser of Environmental Tax Reform?Gilberto Turati
Milan Ščasný (Charles University Prague, Environment Center, Czech Republic)
|
Optimal taxation, social contract and the four worlds of welfare capitalismGilberto Turati
Amedeo Spadaro (Public Policy Analysis Unit, Paris School of Economics, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Palma de Mallorca)
|
|
TAXATION (2)
|
Distributional implications of income tax evasion in Greece, Hungary and Italy
Manos Matsaganis (Athens University of Economics and Business), Dóra Benedek (Ministry of Finance, Republic of Hungary),
Maria Flevotomou (Bank of Greece), Orsolya Lelkes (European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research, Vienna),
Daniela Mantovani and Sylwia Nienadowska (University of Modena and Reggio Emilia)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
Income Distributional Outcomes of Converting Non-refundable Credits to Refundable Credits in Canada
Thaddeus Hwong (York University, Canada), Laurie Plager (Statistics Canada)
|
Decomposition of Marginal Tax Rates in Canada
Jackson Chung and Brian Murphy (Statistics Canada)
|
|
TAXATION (3)
|
A distributional look at consumption taxes on Canada households
Jennifer Jones and Chantal Hicks (Statistics Canada)
|
Microsimulation of indirect taxes
André Decoster and Dirk Verwerft (Center for Economic Studies, University of Leuven, Belgium)
Jason Loughrey and Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc)
[Paper]
|
Simulating Eligibility for and Estimating Non-Take-Up of Social Benefits – A Longitudinal Perspective
Olaf Groh-Samberg (DIW Berlin) and Joachim R. Frick (DIW Berlin, TU Berlin, IZA Bonn)
|
Measurement error in estimates of participation rate in means-tested programs: The case of US supplemental security income programme for the elderly
Alexander Strand, Kalman Rupp and Paul Davies (U.S. Social Security Administration)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
|
TAXATION (4)
|
Distributional Effects of Taxes and Benefits in Korea: KIPFSIM
Myung Jae Sung, ByungMok Jeon and Byung-hill Jun (Korea Institute of Public Finance)
[Presentation] [Paper]
|
Which Personal Income Tax Scheme Favours Income Distribution Within the Czech Households?
Jan Pavel (University of Economics, Prague, Czech Republic), Milan Ščasný and Martin Kryl (Charles University Prague, Czech Republic)
|
“Purple Reign” An evaluation of tax-benefit reforms in Belgium 1999-2007
André Decoster and Kris De Swerdt (Centre for Economic Studies, KUniversity of Leuven, Belgium),
Pieter Vandenbroucke and Gerlinde Verbist (Centre for Social Policy, University of Antwerp, Belgium)
|
|
