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Journal articles

A list of microsimulation-related refereed journal articles in author order. If you would like an article adding to the list, please send full bibliographic details to the IMA.

Abello A, Lymer S, Brown L et al. (2008) 'Enhancing the Australian National Health Survey Data for Use in a Microsimulation Model of Pharmaceutical Drug Usage and Cost', The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 11(3).
<http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/3/2.html>

Abello A and Harding A (2006) 'Income Mobility and Financial Disadvantage: Transitions among Australian Children', Agenda, 13(1), 31-48.

Atkinson A, Bourguignon F, O'Donoghue C et al. (2002) 'Microsimulation of Social Policy in the European Union: Case Study of a European Minimum Pension', Economica, 68, 229-243.

Ballas D and Clarke G P (2000) 'IS and microsimulation for local labour market policy analysis', Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 24, 305-330.

Ballas D and Clarke G P (2001a) 'Towards local implications of major job transformations in the city: a spatial microsimulation approach', Geographical Analysis, 31, 291-311.

Ballas D and Clarke G P (2001b) 'Modelling the local impacts of national social policies: a microsimulation approach', Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 19, 587-606.

Ballas D (2004) 'Simulating trends in poverty and income inequality on the basis of the 1991 and 2001 Census data: a tale of two cities', Area, 36, 146-163.

Ballas D, Clarke G P, Dorling D et al. (2005) 'SimBritain: a spatial microsimulation approach to population dynamics', Population, Place and Space, 11, 13-34.

Ballas D, Clarke G P and Wiemers E (2005) 'Building a dynamic spatial microsimulation model for Ireland', Population Place and Space, 11, 157-172.

Bardazzi R, Parisi V and Pazienza M G (2004) 'Modelling direct and indirect taxes on firms: a policy simulation', Austrian Journal of Statistics, 33(1+2), 237-259.

Beckman R J, Baggerly K A and McKay M D (1996) 'Creating synthetic baseline populations', Transportation Research, 30(6), 415-429.

Beer G (2003) 'Work incentives under a new tax system: the distribution of effective marginal tax rates in 2002', The Economic Record, 79(Special Issue), 14-25.

Bergmann B R (1990) 'A microsimulated model of inventories in interfirm competition', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 14, 65-77.

Birkin M and Clarke M (1988) 'SYNTHESIS - a synthetic spatial information system for urban and regional analysis: methods and examples', Environment and Planning A, 20, 1645-1671.

Bourguignon F, Fournier M and Gurgand M (2001) 'Fast development with a stable income', Review of Income and Wealth, 47(2), 139-163.

Bradbury B (1992) 'Unemployment, participation and family incomes in the 1980s', The Economic Record, 68(202), 328-342.

Brown L and Harding A (2002) 'Social modelling and public policy: application of microsimulation modelling in Australia', Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 5(4). <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/5/4/6.html>

Brown L, Abello A and Harding A (2006) 'Pharmaceuticals Benefit Scheme: Effects of the Safety Net', Agenda, 13(3), 211-224.

Brown L, Abello A, Phillips B et al. (2004) 'Moving towards an improved micro-simulation model of the Australian pharmaceutical benefits scheme', Australian Economic Review, 37(1), 41-61.

Brown L J, Caldwell S B and Eklund S A (1995) 'How fee and insurance changes could affect dentistry: results from a microsimulation model', Journal of the Association of American Dentists, 126, 449-459.

Brownstone D, Englund P and Persson M (1988) 'A microsimulation model of Swedish housing demand', Journal of Urban Economics, 23(179-198).

Burmaster D E and Anderson P D (1994) 'Principles of good practice for the use of Monte Carlo techniques in human health and ecological risk assessments', Risk Analysis, 14(4), 477-481.

Caldwell S, Greene W, Mount T et al. (1979) 'Forecasting regional energy demand with linked macro/micro models', Papers of the Regional Science Association, 43, 99-113.

Caldwell S B (1982) 'Microsimulation: theory and practice', IHS-Journal, 6, 135-147.

Caldwell S B (1985) 'Recognizing heterogeneous responses to policy', Sociological Methods & Research, 13(3), 387-406.

Caldwell S B, Clarke G P and Keister L A (1998) 'Modelling regional changes in US household income and wealth: a research agenda', Environment and Planning C, 16(6), 707-722.

Callan T, Nolan B and O'Donoghue C (1996) 'What has happened to replacement rates?' The Economic and Social Review, 27(5), 439-456.

Callan T and Sutherland H (1997) 'The impact of comparable policies in European countries: microsimulation approaches', European Economic Review, 41, 627-633.

Chin S F, Harding A, Lloyd R et al. (2005) 'Spatial microsimulation using synthetic small area estimates of income, tax and social security benefits', Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 11(3), 303-336.

Clarke G P, Kashti A, McDonald A T et al. (1997) 'Estimating small area demand for water: a new methodology', Journal of the Chartered Institution of Water and Environmental Management, 11, 186-192.

Clarke M and Spowage M E (1984) 'Integrated models for public policy analysis: an example of the use of simulation models in health care planning', Papers of the Regional Science Association, 55, 25-45.

Clarke M and Holm E (1987) 'Microsimulation methods in spatial analysis and planning', Geografiska Annaler, 69 B(2), 145-164.

Clarke M, Longley P and Williams H (1989) 'Microanalysis and simulation of housing careers: subsidy and accumulation in the U.K. housing market', Papers of the Regional Science Association, 66, 105-122.

Coale A and Trussell J (1996) 'The development and use of demographic models', Population Studies, 50, 469-484.

Cook E and Vlaisavljevich M (1994) 'Implications of Health Reform for State and Local Fiscal Policy', Nation Tax Journal, 47(3), 639-654.

Cova T J and Johnson J P (2002) 'Microsimulation of neighbourhood evacuations in the urban-wildland interface', Environment and Planning A, 34, 2211-2229.

De Vos S and Palloni A (1989) 'Formal methods for the analysis of kinship and household organization', Population Index, 55(2), 174-198.

Decoster A, Schokkaert E and Van Camp G (1997) 'Is redistribution through indirect taxes equitable?' European Economic Review, 41, 599-608.

Dekkers G J M, Nelissen J H M and Verbon H A A (1996) 'Intergenerational equity and pension reform: The case of the Netherlands', Public Finance, 50(2), 224-245.

Dickert S, Houser S and Scholz J K (1994) 'Taxes and the Poor: A Microsimulation Study of Implicit and Explicit Taxes', Nation Tax Journal, 47(September), 621-638.

Duncan A and Weeks M (1997) 'Behavioural tax microsimulation with finite hours choices', European Economic Review, 41, 619-626.

Erksoy S (1994) 'The effects of higher unemployment on the distribution of income in Canada: 1981-1987', Canadian Public Policy - Analyse doe Politiques, 20(3), 318-328.

Greenberg D H, Long D, Meyer D et al. (1995) 'Using microsimulation to help design pilot demonstrations: an illustration from the Canadian self-sufficiency project', Evaluation Review, 19(6), 687-706.

Hammel E A and Wachter K W (1996a) 'Evaluating the Slavonian Census of 1698. Part 1: structure and meaning', European Journal of Population, 12, 145-166.

Hammel E A and Wachter K W (1996b) 'Evaluating the Slavonian Census of 1698. Part II: A microsimulation test and extension of the evidence', European Journal of Population, 12, 295-326.

Harding A, Warren N, Robinson M et al. (2000) 'The distributional impact of the year 2000 tax reforms in Australia', Agenda, 7(1), 17-31.

Harding A, Percival R, Schofield D et al. (2002) 'The lifetime distributional impact of government health outlays', Australian Economic Review, 35(4), 363-379.

Harding A, Warren N, Beer G et al. (2002) 'The distributional impact of selected Commonwealth outlays and taxes and alternative Commonwealth grant allocation mechanisms', Australian Economic Review, 35(3), 325-334.

Harding A, Abello A, Brown L et al. (2004) 'The distributional impact of goverment outlays on the Australian pharmaceutical benefits scheme in 2001-02', Economic Record, 80(Special Issue), S83-96.

Harding A, Vu Q N, Percival R et al. (2005) 'Welfare-to-work reforms: impact on sole parents', Agenda, 12(3), 195-210.

Hellerstein D (1995) 'Welfare estimation using aggregate and individual-observation models: a comparison using Monte Carlo techniques', American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 77, 620-630.

Joshi H (1990) 'The cash opportunity costs of childbearing: an approach to estimation using British data', Population Studies, 44, 41-60.

Joshi H and Davies H (1991) 'Pension splitting and divorce', Fiscal Studies, 12(4), 69-91.

Kazimi C (1997) 'Evaluating the environmental impact of alternative-fuel vehicles', Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 33, 163-185.

Kelly S and Harding A (2006) 'Don't Rely On The Old Folks' Money:Inheritance Patterns In Australia', Elder Law Review, 4. <http://www.neln.org/elr/vol4/refereed/kelly%2Dharding/>

Kelly S and King A (2001) 'Australians over the coming 50 years: providing useful projections', Brazilian Electronic Journal of Economics, 42(2).

Kelly S and Harding A (2006) 'Don't Rely On The Old Folks' Money:Inheritance Patterns In Australia', Elder Law Review, 4. <http://www.neln.org/elr/vol4/refereed/kelly%2Dharding/>

Kitamura R, Pas E I, Lula C V et al. (1996) 'The sequenced activity mobility simulator (SAMS): an integrated approach to modeling transportation, land use and air quality', Transportation, 23, 267-291.

Klevmarken N A (2002) 'Statistical infererence in micro-simulation models: incorporating external information', Mathematics and computers in simulation, 59(1-3), 255-265.

Martini A (1997) 'Microsimulation models and labor supply responses to welfare reforms', Policy Studies Journal, 25(1), 39-58.

McNamara J, Cassells R, Harding A et al. (2006) 'Trends in child care use and cost between 1999 and 2002', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, 9(2), 125-146.

Mercader-Prats M (1997) 'On the distributive and incentive effects of the Spanish income tax: a comparison of 1980 and 1994', European Economic Review, 41, 609-617.

Merz J (1991) 'Microsimulation - a survey of principles, developments and applications', International Journal of Forecasting, 7, 77-104.

Meyer D R, Phillips E and Maritato N L (1991) 'The effects of replacing income tax deductions for children with children's allowances', Journal of Family Issues, 12(4), 467-491.

Morgan J N (1990) 'A conditional analysis of movers' housing responses', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 14, 79-95.

Nelissen J H M (1993) 'Labour market, income formation and social security in the microsimulation model NEDYMAS', Economic modelling, 10, 225-272.

Nelissen J H M (1995) 'Lifetime income redistribution by social security', Journal of Population Economics, 8, 89-105.

Nelissen J H M (1995) 'Lifetime income redistribution by the old-age state pension in The Netherlands', Journal of Public Economics, 58, 429-451.

Nelissen J H M (1997) 'Vertical and horizontal lifetime redistribution by the Dutch social security system', in Zandvakili S (Ed.), Taxation and Inequality, Greenwich: JAI Press Inc, 291-326.

Nelissen J H M (1998) 'Annual versus lifetime income redisribution by social security', Journal of Public Economics, 68, 223-249.

Nelissen J H M (1999) 'A payable alternative for the Dutch old-age pension system', Journal of Policy Modelling, 21, 275-282.

Nelissen J H M (1999) 'Mortality differences related to socioeconomic status and the progressivity of old-age pensions and health insurance: The Netherlands', European Journal of Population, 15, 77-97.

Nelissen J H M (2000) 'The costs and the lifetime redistributive impact of capital funded Dutch supplementary pensions', Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, 25, 407-423.

Orcutt G (1957) 'A new type of socio-economic system', Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116-123.

Orcutt G H (1990a) 'From engineering to microsimulation: an autobiographical reflection', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 14, 5-27.

Orcutt G H (1990b) 'The microanalytic approach for modeling national economics', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 14, 29-41.

Palme M (1996) 'Income distribution effects of the Swedish 1991 tax reform: an analysis of a microsimulation using generalized Kakwani decomposition', Journal of Policy Modeling, 18(4), 419-443.

Pudney S and Sutherland H (1994) 'How reliable are microsimulation results? An analysis of the role of sampling error in a U.K. tax-benefit model', Journal of Public Economics, 53, 327-365.

Richiardi M and Leombruni R (2006) 'LABORsim: An Agent-Based Microsimulation of Labour Supply. An application to Italy.' Computational Economics, 27(1), 63-88.

Rivlin A M (1990) 'Simulating policy alternatives for long-term care', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 14, 53-64.

Ruggles S (1993) 'Confessions of a microsimulator: problems in modeling the demography of kinship', Historical Methods, 26(4), 161-169.

Slesnick D T (1996) 'Consumption and poverty: how effective are in-kind transfers', The Economic Journal, 106, 1527-1545.

Spadaro A (2005) 'Micro-simulation and normative policy evaluation: an application to some EU Tax-Benefits Systems', Journal of Public Economic Theory, 7(4), 593-622.

Spear B D (1996) 'New approaches to transportation forecasting: a synthesis of four research proposals', Transportation, 23, 215-240.

Stoker T M (1993) 'Empirical approaches to the problem of aggregation over individuals', Journal of Economic Literature, XXXI, 1827-1874.

Suauerbier T (2002) 'UMDBS - a new tool for dynamic microsimulation', Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 5(2). <<http://jass.soc.surrey.ac.uk/5/2/5.html>>

Szeto K L and Devlin N J (1996) 'The cost-effectiveness of mammography screening: evidence from a microsimulation model for New Zealand', Health Policy, 38, 101-115.

Taylor E, Harding A, Lloyd R et al. (2004) 'Housing unaffordability at the statistical local area level: new estimates using spatial microsimulation', Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 10(3), 279-300.

Toohey M and Beer G (2004) 'Financial incentives to work for married mothers under a new tax system', Australian Journal of Labour Economics, 7(1), 53-69.

Tu E J-C, Freedman V A and Wolf D A (1993) 'Kinship and family support in Taiwan: a microsimulation approach', Research on aging, 15(4), 465-486.

Van Imhoff E and Post W (1997) 'Methodes de micro-simulation pour des projections de population', Population, 4, 889-932.

van Sonsbeek J-M and Gradus R H J M (2006) 'A microsimulation analysis of the 2006 regime change in the Dutch disability scheme', Economic Modelling, 23, 427–456.

Van Tongeren F W (1997) 'Microsimulation of the firm and the economy', Simulation and Gaming, 28(2), 225 - 229.

van Tongeren F W (1998) 'Microsimulation of Corporate Response to Investment Subsidies', Journal of Policy Modeling, 20(1), 55-75.

van Wissen L (2000) 'A micro-simulation model of firms: applications of concepts of the demography of the firm', Papers in Regional Science, 79, 111-134.

Veldhuisen J, Timmermans H and Kapoen L (2000) 'RAMBLAS: a regional planning model based on the microsimulation of daily activity travel patterns', Environment and Planning A, 32, 427-443.

Voas D and Williamson P (2000) 'An evaluation of the combinatorial optimisation approach to the creation of synthetic microdata', International Journal of Population Geography, 6, 349-366.

Voas D and Williamson P (2001) 'Evaluating goodness-of-fit measures for synthetic microdata', Geographical and Environmental Modelling, 5(2), 177-200.

Wachter K W (1997) 'Kinship resources for the elderly', Philisophical Transactions of the Royal Society London B, 352, 1811-1817.

Walker A, Percival R, Thurecht L et al. (2005) 'Distributional impact of recent changes in private health insurance policies', Australian Health Review, 29(2), 167-177.

Walker A, Pearse J, Thurecht L et al. (2006) 'Hospital admissions by socioeconomic status: does the 'inverse care law' apply to older Australians?' Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 30(5), 467-473.

Walker A, Thurecht L and Harding A (2006) 'Changes in hospitalisation rates and costs - New South Wales', The Australian Economic Review, 39(4), 391-408.

Warren N, Harding A and Lloyd R (2005) 'GST and the changing incidence of Australian taxes: 1994-95 to 2001-02', eJournal of Tax Research, 3(1), 117-149.

Williamson P, Birkin M and Rees P H (1998) 'The estimation of population microdata by using data from small area statistics and samples of anonymised records', Environment and Planning A, 30(5), 785-816.

Williamson P, Mitchell G and McDonald A T (2002) 'Domestic water demand forecasting: A static microsimulation approach', Journal of the Chartered Institution of Water and Environmental Management, 16(4), 243-248.

Wixon B, Bridges Jr B and Pattison D (1987) 'Policy analysis through microsimulation: the STATS model', Social Security Bulletin, 50(12), 4-12.

Zabinski D, Selden T M, Moeller J F et al. (1999) 'Medical savings accounts: microsimulation results from a model with adverse selection', Journal of Health Economics, 18, 195-218.

Zellner A (1990) 'Guy H Orcutt: contributions to economic statistics', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 14, 43-51.

Zhao Z (1994) 'Demographic conditions and mutli-generation households in Chinese history. Results from genealogical research and microsimulation', Population Studies, 48, 413-425.

Zhao Z (1996) 'The demographic transition in Victorian England and changes in English kinship networks', Continuity and Change, 11(2), 243-272.